NJPW World Tag League Results – Day 11: EVIL & SANADA vs. Ishii & YOSHI-HASHI, Updated Standings & Analysis

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NJPW World Tag League Results
November 29, 2019 – Night 11

Tournament Match Results

1. Mikey Nicholls & Jeff Cobb def. Hirooki Goto & Karl Fredericks

2. Colt Cabana & Toru Yano def. Manabu Nakanishi & Yuji Nagata

3. Zack Sabre Jr. & Taichi def. Satoshi Kojima & Hiroyoshi Tenzan

4. David Finlay & Juice Robinson def. Chase Owens & Bad Luck Fale

5. KENTA & Yujiro Takahashi def. Hiroshi Tanahashi & Henare

6. Guerrillas of Destiny def. Togi Makabe & Tomoaki Honma

7. EVIL & SANADA def. Tomohiro Ishii & YOSHI-HASHI

Updated Block Standings

  • David Finlay & Juice Robinson – 16 pts (8-1)
  • EVIL & SANADA – 16 pts (8-1)
  • Tomohiro Ishii & YOSHI-HASHI – 14 pts (7-2)
  • Toru Yano & Colt Cabana – 14 pts (7-3)
  • Guerrillas of Destiny – 14 pts (7-2)
  • Minoru Suzuki & Lance Archer – 12 pts (6-3)
  • Jeff Cobb & Mikey Nicholls – 12 pts (6-5)
  • Shingo Takagi & Terrible – 10 pts (5-5)
  • KENTA & Yujiro Takahashi – 10 pts (6-4)
  • Hiroyoshi Tenzan & Satoshi Kojima –8 pts (4-7)
  • Zack Sabre Jr. & Taichi – 8 pts (4-6)
  • Bad Luck Fale & Chase Owens – 6 pts (3-6)
  • Togi Makabe & Tomoaki Honma – 6 pts (3-8)
  • Hirooki Goto & Karl Fredericks – 4 pts (2-7)
  • Hiroshi Tanahashi & Toa Henare – 4 pts (2-8)
  • Yuji Nagata & Manabu Nakanishi – 2 pts (1-10)

Killam’s Analysis

Some important moves on both ends of the field after Friday’s show. At the bottom of the pack we now have five teams which have been mathematically eliminated. It’s not looking good for the Bullet Club duo of Fale and Owens, or the Suzuki-Gun team of Taichi and Zack Sabre Jr., but technically they can still win IF every other team near the top loses the rest of their matches AND those losses don’t give the middle of the pack enough points to catch up. So basically, they’re boned.

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At the top we saw EVIL and SANADA take out Big Tom Ishii and YOSHI-HASHI, so we’re down to two in the lead, both with 8-1 records. That win is significant because the rest of this tournament is likely to be an extremely tight race, and if it comes down to a tiebreaker, the LIJ group just earned a major advantage over one of the other top teams in the field.

While some are sitting better than others, the top 9 teams are all still very much in contention. The numbers and history tell us the most likely scenario is LIJ, FinJuice and GoD battling for the win on the final night, but there’s still plenty of room for an underdog or a surprise late-game sprint. Teams still have 8-12 points left to go, depending on how many matches they’ve already put in. That makes Cobb and Nichols unlikely, with a max total of 18, but some big wins and a 20-22 point finish could possibly be enough for Archer and Suzuki.

We have 3 consecutive shows starting Sunday, and at that point most of the heavy hitters will have faced each other, we’ll have a few more eliminations, and we’ll be able to start making more accurate predictions of how this tournament may shape up. After that, it’s just 3 more shows and we’re on to the Tokyo Dome.